ACKL Finals... Day 1 Pre-Breakdown

The finals are upon me once again in the wonderful fantasy format of sports. Now I know most won't be interested, but I wanted to break down the fantasy numbers pre-day and then post day to see how well the average predictors are, and whether or not you can find an actually statistical advantage from it all or not.

So how I'm going to break it down, I'm going to forget percentages... that's a crap shoot stat that I don't have time to try figure out as the week is going, I'm worried about the other 8 categories that go on in my fantasy format, I'm going to tally each person's starting roster for that day, and make a prediction based on last week's average stats... I could go monthly, but I've chosen to use the nearest stat and too see how far off some players are, in terms of hot and cold streaks. Anyways just something to scare those that wish to look at the stats.

Day 1
HH Roster 3 PTM PTS OREB REB AST STLS BLKS TO
- Stephen Curry: 2.3 19.7 1.0 4.7 9.3 1.3 0.7 3.7
- Andre Iguodala: 2.3 22.7 1.0 7.0 7.7 3.0 0.7 4.0
- Deron Williams: 2.0 17.0 0.0 2.3 14.3 1.0 0.7 3.3
- Lebron James: 0.3 30.7 0.7 9.7 7.3 1.3 0.7 3.0
-Gerald Wallace: 0.5 15.0 1.8 9.0 2.3 0.8 0.5 1.8
- Antawn Jamison: 1.3 13.3 1.0 9.7 1.3 0.7 0.7 1.0
- Luis Scola: 0.0 18.8 2.5 8.0 2.3 1.3 0.3 2.3
- Jason Thompson:0.0 17.0 2.3 7.3. 0.7 0.3 1.3 1.7
- John Salmons: 1.8 19.8 1.0 3.8 4.8 1.0 0.3 2.0

Kobe's Lineup
- Jrue Holiday: 1.0 15.0 0.3 2.3 5.7 1.0 0.0 4.0
- Chase Budinger: 3.0 19.3 0.8 4.5 2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3
- Taj Gibson: 0.0 14.0 5.7 13.7 1.0 0.7 2.3 1.0
- Joakim Noah: 0.0 11.0 4.0 11.3 2.7 0.3 1.3 0.7
- J.J. Hickson: 0.0 12.0 4.0 11.0 1.7 0.3 1.7 1.3
- Andray Blatche: 0.0 23.0 3.3 8.3 6.8 2.8 1.0 2.8
-H-heem Thabeet:0.0 1.7 1.7 6.7 0.3 0.3 2.3 1.7
- Paul Millsap: 0.0 13.7 3.0 9.0 2.7 0.7 1.7 1.7
- Shaun Livingston: 0.0 12.0 0.5 3.3 5.3 0.0 0.8 2.5


Matchup numbers(predicted)

Category	Kobe(pred)	actual	HH(pred)	actual
3PTM	4.0	2	10.5	11
PTS	121.7	103	174	198
OREB	24.4	12	11.3	7
REB	70.1	52	61.5	37
ASTS	28.2	26	50	41
STLS	6.7	4	10.7	4
BLKS	11.4	9	5.2	3
TO	16.0	11	22.8	10

So after night one the matchup should be 4-4, and then add percentages in there, which usually gets split, so after night one the matchup should be 5-5. Not much to seperate both squads, and really should make for an entertaining continuation on the week. I'll update it hopefully tomorrow after the actual results come in and we can see how widely off the predicted stats are.

Deron and Kyle Throw Balls

So the summer this year has been epically slow in terms of anything really NBA news related that didn't involve David Lee, Ricky Rubio, Ramon Sessions and Brandon Jennings thinking he is the best point guard ever.

Apparently in mormon state Utah is where all the action is going to be at come September, and it ain't basketball we will be watching, nope it will be a dodgeball tourney featuring Deron Williams and Kyle Korver. This is a charity even raising money for a worthy cause and in an attempt to drum up support Kyle and Deron have made some videos to get people to sign up. I've posted the three below, the first one is my personal favourite.


Notice the 50% Boozer jersey's on sale in the background.

Video #2


Video #3


So sign up for some dodgeball, cause well that's all I want to play now after watching the videos... and some corn. Corn, Dodgeball and a Boozer jersey, yup the good life.

Oh and if you are bored... Bill Simmons twitter feed is rather amazing to read every so often.

Picturesque Shaq Style

Shaquille O'Neal brings new meaning to being scared for life. Take that pink speedo... BOOMSHAQALAQUA!!!




I do hope some fan puts a sign up of him in his speedo at a game next year.

Never released book titles part 1

Some guys just want a chance, and for those we salute you today with this new book title about a man who got a chance to play in the NBA and showed that even if you can't rebound you can still play for the Toronto Raptors, Utah Jazz and Philadelphia 76'ers.

Playoffs and all

Well while trying to recover from the stimulation of watching a sea turtle race. (just go to colbertnation and follow the link), I've noticed that it's playoff hockey and basketball time. Which means this is the best time of year for sports bar none. Cause as well football is starting to come to a close as well over the next couple of months as well (the non american variety).

So yes, I was tempted to blog about all the teams and so forth and give my predictions, but I've decided that having maggie the monkey beat me in a competition of predictions is not only uncool but also would be quite the burst to my ego. But alas let's look at the series in the NBA first quickly.

Detroit versus Orlando (Goliath versus David)
Simple Goliath wins, Orlando is a SG/actual PG away from being dominant, and if Darko every decided to wake up... which would be a first finally, then well he's wouldn't be the worst 2nd draft pick since Len Bias (was that cocaine reference too soon).

Chicago versus Miami (Youth versus Veteran)
Well after over paying for Ben Wallace, Chicago comes in with a deep rotation and a problem with not trading for Kevin Garnett, yup that's going to hunt them for a while. Miami on the other hand has a 50% Wade and a 100% immovable object in Shaq (by the way I'm just waiting for him to go all cop on Ben Wallace and tell him that he will arrest him for having a headband on)

Toronto versus New Jersey (The ex-sanity)
Yes that's about as good of a Vince Carter reference I can come up with. And I hate to say it, but Toronto is too young, no matter how many veteran European players are playing on your team. Toronto does not have the dominating Center, sorry Rasho, and New Jersey is just too veteran of a squad these days.

Cleveland versus Washington (Overpaid, No HIBACHI)
Need I say more, this series could have been great if Gerald Wallace didn't decide to fly through the air like he was in the cirque de soleil, and land on Arenas' leg. And if Caron Butler could convince the rim and backboard to be nicer to his hand next time, maybe we would have actually had a decent series... sadly we won't.

Dallas versus Golden State (Patch Beard versus Man Beard)
Yup Baron Davis has one sweat Beard, it's more dense then his hair, and to me that's hard to find in a good beard. It will be a tough series, and maybe Dirk will grow a playoff beard as well, to attempt to match and beat Baron Davis. I seriously would love to see Davis playing hockey right about now, he would fit right in.

Phoenix versus Kobe (Team versus One man show)
Need I say anything else about this. If Kobe can somehow pull this off I'll be impressed, the man though should have just manned up to Shaq back in the day and said he needed him to be able to win championships... maybe he doesn't want too. Maybe he really just wants to beat Wilt's 100 point night record. Either way Nash and the team philosophy of the Suns is usually too hard to handle.

San Antonio versus Denver (Balding versus 3 hour hair jobs)
Yes did anyone notice the hair of AI and Carmelo, like honestly, they are looking like twins. Maybe they both bought into the team philosophy together and as well enjoy manicures and pedicures together as well. On the other hand, someone should find a black paint can and spray the bald spot in Manu's head. It's terrible to watch on HD TV to be honest.

Houston versus Utah (The world versus the mormons)
Yup, I can't stay away from a mormon reference let's be honest. But then again when Houston has all of china behind them, with both Ming and McGrady (I know McGrady isn't chinese but his jersey sales would say otherwise in China). Also not that all of china is the world, but it's a lot bigger than mormon country is in Salt Lake. Again as long as neither of two bigs get injured for Houston, then it will be one tough series. Yes you thought I was going to predict now didn't you.

Anyways there's my small run down of the NBA playoffs.

I would like to remind everyone, that the Dutch Eredivise is very exciting right now with AZ, PSV and Ajax, all tied at the top of the table, with one game remaining and AZ holding the lead in goal differential. Yes I haven't see this happen in the Dutch league ever, or maybe I just didn't pay attention, all I know is there is going to be a lot of scoreboard watching next weekend to see who will win. I hope AZ does, they need to continue to build the history they have been putting together in the last few years and deserve it for their brilliant offensive soccer they have been playing.